European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategies
The European tourism industry, a significant contributor to employment and income, is under threat due to climate change. This study, using data from 1315 European regions and considering a tourism-specific climate index and tourism typologies, examines the potential impact of climate change on tour...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
IOP Publishing
2025-01-01
|
| Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adaa04 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1832577716878049280 |
|---|---|
| author | David García-León Nicoleta Anca Matei Filipe Batista e Silva Ricardo Barranco Alessandro Dosio Juan-Carlos Ciscar |
| author_facet | David García-León Nicoleta Anca Matei Filipe Batista e Silva Ricardo Barranco Alessandro Dosio Juan-Carlos Ciscar |
| author_sort | David García-León |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The European tourism industry, a significant contributor to employment and income, is under threat due to climate change. This study, using data from 1315 European regions and considering a tourism-specific climate index and tourism typologies, examines the potential impact of climate change on tourism demand across the continent under four warming scenarios. We find that climate change impacts in Europe will be highly asymmetrical across regions and seasons, resulting in significant reallocations of tourism demand in space and time across all warming scenarios. A clear north-south pattern in tourism demand changes emerges, with northern regions benefiting and southern regions experiencing significant reductions, particularly under higher warming. Summer demand and coastal areas, where tourism demand is more concentrated, will be particularly affected. We also quantify the deseasonalising efforts necessary to maintain the status quo in the annual demand for tourism, involving relative reductions in summer demand and increases in shoulder and winter seasons. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-069027dbd07f4b46952bb8dcbae47702 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1748-9326 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj-art-069027dbd07f4b46952bb8dcbae477022025-01-30T16:20:02ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262025-01-0120202404310.1088/1748-9326/adaa04European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategiesDavid García-León0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3205-7613Nicoleta Anca Matei1Filipe Batista e Silva2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8752-6464Ricardo Barranco3Alessandro Dosio4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6365-9473Juan-Carlos Ciscar5https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5558-817XEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre , Seville, SpainEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre , Seville, SpainEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre , Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre , Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre , Ispra, ItalyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre , Seville, SpainThe European tourism industry, a significant contributor to employment and income, is under threat due to climate change. This study, using data from 1315 European regions and considering a tourism-specific climate index and tourism typologies, examines the potential impact of climate change on tourism demand across the continent under four warming scenarios. We find that climate change impacts in Europe will be highly asymmetrical across regions and seasons, resulting in significant reallocations of tourism demand in space and time across all warming scenarios. A clear north-south pattern in tourism demand changes emerges, with northern regions benefiting and southern regions experiencing significant reductions, particularly under higher warming. Summer demand and coastal areas, where tourism demand is more concentrated, will be particularly affected. We also quantify the deseasonalising efforts necessary to maintain the status quo in the annual demand for tourism, involving relative reductions in summer demand and increases in shoulder and winter seasons.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adaa04climate changeimpactsadaptationTCIdeseasonalisationtourism |
| spellingShingle | David García-León Nicoleta Anca Matei Filipe Batista e Silva Ricardo Barranco Alessandro Dosio Juan-Carlos Ciscar European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategies Environmental Research Letters climate change impacts adaptation TCI deseasonalisation tourism |
| title | European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategies |
| title_full | European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategies |
| title_fullStr | European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategies |
| title_full_unstemmed | European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategies |
| title_short | European tourism demand in the face of climate change: asymmetric impacts, demand reallocation, and deseasonalisation strategies |
| title_sort | european tourism demand in the face of climate change asymmetric impacts demand reallocation and deseasonalisation strategies |
| topic | climate change impacts adaptation TCI deseasonalisation tourism |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adaa04 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT davidgarcialeon europeantourismdemandinthefaceofclimatechangeasymmetricimpactsdemandreallocationanddeseasonalisationstrategies AT nicoletaancamatei europeantourismdemandinthefaceofclimatechangeasymmetricimpactsdemandreallocationanddeseasonalisationstrategies AT filipebatistaesilva europeantourismdemandinthefaceofclimatechangeasymmetricimpactsdemandreallocationanddeseasonalisationstrategies AT ricardobarranco europeantourismdemandinthefaceofclimatechangeasymmetricimpactsdemandreallocationanddeseasonalisationstrategies AT alessandrodosio europeantourismdemandinthefaceofclimatechangeasymmetricimpactsdemandreallocationanddeseasonalisationstrategies AT juancarlosciscar europeantourismdemandinthefaceofclimatechangeasymmetricimpactsdemandreallocationanddeseasonalisationstrategies |