Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model

Abstract This paper presents a hybrid prediction model, ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM, for predicting dew in cold areas. The model integrates BiTCN and BiLSTM neural networks to enhance performance. An enhanced Crayfish optimization algorithm (ECOA) with four mixed strategies was employed to optimize the model’...

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Main Authors: Yi Zhang, Pengtao Liu, Yingying Xu, Meng Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-74097-x
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author Yi Zhang
Pengtao Liu
Yingying Xu
Meng Zhang
author_facet Yi Zhang
Pengtao Liu
Yingying Xu
Meng Zhang
author_sort Yi Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This paper presents a hybrid prediction model, ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM, for predicting dew in cold areas. The model integrates BiTCN and BiLSTM neural networks to enhance performance. An enhanced Crayfish optimization algorithm (ECOA) with four mixed strategies was employed to optimize the model’s hyperparameters and reduce the impact of arbitrary selection. The proposed ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM model was validated using dew data from farmland in a northeastern Chinese city. Comparative experiments were conducted against the BiTCN model, the BiLSTM model, the original BiTCN-BiLSTM model, and other models optimized with advanced swarm intelligence algorithms. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.002424, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.003984, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.123050, with a coefficient of determination R2 of 0.999840. These results indicate that the ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM model outperforms the other prediction models across all evaluated metrics, offering higher prediction accuracy and highly effective prediction models.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
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spelling doaj-art-05b8ccf331db450ea204d7d4111313192025-02-09T12:29:58ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-02-0115111410.1038/s41598-024-74097-xPrediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid modelYi Zhang0Pengtao Liu1Yingying Xu2Meng Zhang3College of Electrical and Computer Science, Jilin Jianzhu UniversityCollege of Electrical and Computer Science, Jilin Jianzhu UniversityCollege of Electrical and Computer Science, Jilin Jianzhu UniversityKey Laboratory of Symbolic Computation and Knowledge Engineering of Ministry of Education, Jilin UniversityAbstract This paper presents a hybrid prediction model, ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM, for predicting dew in cold areas. The model integrates BiTCN and BiLSTM neural networks to enhance performance. An enhanced Crayfish optimization algorithm (ECOA) with four mixed strategies was employed to optimize the model’s hyperparameters and reduce the impact of arbitrary selection. The proposed ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM model was validated using dew data from farmland in a northeastern Chinese city. Comparative experiments were conducted against the BiTCN model, the BiLSTM model, the original BiTCN-BiLSTM model, and other models optimized with advanced swarm intelligence algorithms. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.002424, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.003984, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.123050, with a coefficient of determination R2 of 0.999840. These results indicate that the ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM model outperforms the other prediction models across all evaluated metrics, offering higher prediction accuracy and highly effective prediction models.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-74097-xSwarm intelligence optimization algorithmEnhanced crayfish optimization algorithmBiTCN-BiLSTM modelHyperparameter optimizationDew volume prediction
spellingShingle Yi Zhang
Pengtao Liu
Yingying Xu
Meng Zhang
Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model
Scientific Reports
Swarm intelligence optimization algorithm
Enhanced crayfish optimization algorithm
BiTCN-BiLSTM model
Hyperparameter optimization
Dew volume prediction
title Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model
title_full Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model
title_fullStr Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model
title_short Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model
title_sort prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ecoa bitcn bilstm hybrid model
topic Swarm intelligence optimization algorithm
Enhanced crayfish optimization algorithm
BiTCN-BiLSTM model
Hyperparameter optimization
Dew volume prediction
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-74097-x
work_keys_str_mv AT yizhang predictionofcoldregiondewvolumebasedonanecoabitcnbilstmhybridmodel
AT pengtaoliu predictionofcoldregiondewvolumebasedonanecoabitcnbilstmhybridmodel
AT yingyingxu predictionofcoldregiondewvolumebasedonanecoabitcnbilstmhybridmodel
AT mengzhang predictionofcoldregiondewvolumebasedonanecoabitcnbilstmhybridmodel