Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean

Abstract This study investigates the contribution of external forcings on global and regional ocean wave height change during 1961–2020. Historical significant wave height (Hs) produced for different CMIP6 external forcings and preindustrial control conditions following the Detection and Attribution...

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Main Authors: Anindita Patra, Guillaume Dodet, Seung‐Ki Min, Antoine Hochet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-03-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106544
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author Anindita Patra
Guillaume Dodet
Seung‐Ki Min
Antoine Hochet
author_facet Anindita Patra
Guillaume Dodet
Seung‐Ki Min
Antoine Hochet
author_sort Anindita Patra
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study investigates the contribution of external forcings on global and regional ocean wave height change during 1961–2020. Historical significant wave height (Hs) produced for different CMIP6 external forcings and preindustrial control conditions following the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP) are employed. The internal variability ranges are compared with different external forcing scenario. Statistically significant linear trends in Hs computed over regional ocean basins are found to be mostly associated with anthropogenic forcings: greenhouse gas‐only (GHG) and aerosol‐only (AER) forcing. For Hs, GHG signals are robustly detected and dominant for most of the global ocean, except over North pacific and South Atlantic, where AER signals are dominant. These results are supported by multi‐model analysis for wind speed. The remarkable increase in Hs over the Arctic (22.3%) and Southern (8.2%) Ocean can be attributed to GHG induced sea‐ice depletion and larger effective fetch along with wind speed increase.
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publishDate 2024-03-01
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spelling doaj-art-04e86385a7e6429082c169b07d07e14f2025-08-20T01:51:57ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072024-03-01516n/an/a10.1029/2023GL106544Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar OceanAnindita Patra0Guillaume Dodet1Seung‐Ki Min2Antoine Hochet3Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale Univ Brest CNRS IRD Ifremer Brest FranceLaboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale Univ Brest CNRS IRD Ifremer Brest FranceDivision of Environmental Science and Engineering Pohang University of Science and Technology Pohang South KoreaLaboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale Univ Brest CNRS IRD Ifremer Brest FranceAbstract This study investigates the contribution of external forcings on global and regional ocean wave height change during 1961–2020. Historical significant wave height (Hs) produced for different CMIP6 external forcings and preindustrial control conditions following the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP) are employed. The internal variability ranges are compared with different external forcing scenario. Statistically significant linear trends in Hs computed over regional ocean basins are found to be mostly associated with anthropogenic forcings: greenhouse gas‐only (GHG) and aerosol‐only (AER) forcing. For Hs, GHG signals are robustly detected and dominant for most of the global ocean, except over North pacific and South Atlantic, where AER signals are dominant. These results are supported by multi‐model analysis for wind speed. The remarkable increase in Hs over the Arctic (22.3%) and Southern (8.2%) Ocean can be attributed to GHG induced sea‐ice depletion and larger effective fetch along with wind speed increase.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106544CMIP6/DAMIPdetection of anthropogenic signalglobal significant wave heightArctic and Antarctic Oceansea‐ice and wind speedgreenhouse gas and aerosol forcing
spellingShingle Anindita Patra
Guillaume Dodet
Seung‐Ki Min
Antoine Hochet
Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean
Geophysical Research Letters
CMIP6/DAMIP
detection of anthropogenic signal
global significant wave height
Arctic and Antarctic Ocean
sea‐ice and wind speed
greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing
title Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean
title_full Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean
title_fullStr Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean
title_short Quantifying Anthropogenic Influences on Global Wave Height Trend During 1961–2020 With Focus on Polar Ocean
title_sort quantifying anthropogenic influences on global wave height trend during 1961 2020 with focus on polar ocean
topic CMIP6/DAMIP
detection of anthropogenic signal
global significant wave height
Arctic and Antarctic Ocean
sea‐ice and wind speed
greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106544
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