Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa

Abstract Distinguishing periods of intermittent unrest from the run-up to eruption is a major challenge at volcanoes around the globe. Comparing multidisciplinary monitoring data with mineral chemistry that records the physical and spatio-temporal evolution of magmas fundamentally advances our abili...

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Main Authors: Kendra J. Lynn, Drew T. Downs, Frank A. Trusdell, Penny E. Wieser, Berenise Rangel, Baylee McDade, Alicia J. Hotovec-Ellis, Ninfa Bennington, Kyle R. Anderson, Dawn C. S. Ruth, Charlotte L. DeVitre, Andria P. Ellis, Patricia A. Nadeau, Laura Clor, Peter Kelly, Peter J. Dotray, Jefferson C. Chang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-11-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52881-7
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author Kendra J. Lynn
Drew T. Downs
Frank A. Trusdell
Penny E. Wieser
Berenise Rangel
Baylee McDade
Alicia J. Hotovec-Ellis
Ninfa Bennington
Kyle R. Anderson
Dawn C. S. Ruth
Charlotte L. DeVitre
Andria P. Ellis
Patricia A. Nadeau
Laura Clor
Peter Kelly
Peter J. Dotray
Jefferson C. Chang
author_facet Kendra J. Lynn
Drew T. Downs
Frank A. Trusdell
Penny E. Wieser
Berenise Rangel
Baylee McDade
Alicia J. Hotovec-Ellis
Ninfa Bennington
Kyle R. Anderson
Dawn C. S. Ruth
Charlotte L. DeVitre
Andria P. Ellis
Patricia A. Nadeau
Laura Clor
Peter Kelly
Peter J. Dotray
Jefferson C. Chang
author_sort Kendra J. Lynn
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Distinguishing periods of intermittent unrest from the run-up to eruption is a major challenge at volcanoes around the globe. Comparing multidisciplinary monitoring data with mineral chemistry that records the physical and spatio-temporal evolution of magmas fundamentally advances our ability to forecast eruptions. The recent eruption of Mauna Loa, Earth’s largest active volcano, provides a unique opportunity to differentiate unrest from run-up and improve forecasting of future eruptions. After decades of intermittent seismic and geodetic activity over 38 years of repose, Mauna Loa began erupting on 27 November 2022. Here we present a multidisciplinary synthesis that tracks the spatio-temporal evolution of precursory activity by integrating mineral and melt chemistry, fluid inclusion barometry, numerical modeling of mineral zoning, syn-eruptive gas plume measurements, the distribution and frequency of earthquake hypocenters, seismic velocity changes, and ground deformation. These diverse data indicate that the eruption occurred following a 2-month period of sustained magma intrusion from depths of 3–5 km up to 1–2 km beneath the summit caldera, providing a new model of the plumbing system at this very high threat volcano. Careful correlation of both the geochemistry and instrumental monitoring data improves our ability to distinguish unrest from the run-up to eruption by providing deeper understanding of the both the monitoring data and the magmatic system—an approach that could be applied at other volcanic systems worldwide.
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spelling doaj-art-04c0bb8c57bc4a779cd6c21f1ad3e7352025-02-09T12:43:51ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232024-11-0115111210.1038/s41467-024-52881-7Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna LoaKendra J. Lynn0Drew T. Downs1Frank A. Trusdell2Penny E. Wieser3Berenise Rangel4Baylee McDade5Alicia J. Hotovec-Ellis6Ninfa Bennington7Kyle R. Anderson8Dawn C. S. Ruth9Charlotte L. DeVitre10Andria P. Ellis11Patricia A. Nadeau12Laura Clor13Peter Kelly14Peter J. Dotray15Jefferson C. Chang16U.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryDepartment of Earth and Planetary Science, University of California, BerkeleyDepartment of Earth and Planetary Science, University of California, BerkeleyU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, California Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, California Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, California Volcano ObservatoryDepartment of Earth and Planetary Science, University of California, BerkeleyU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Cascades Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Cascades Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryU.S. Geological Survey, Hawaiian Volcano ObservatoryAbstract Distinguishing periods of intermittent unrest from the run-up to eruption is a major challenge at volcanoes around the globe. Comparing multidisciplinary monitoring data with mineral chemistry that records the physical and spatio-temporal evolution of magmas fundamentally advances our ability to forecast eruptions. The recent eruption of Mauna Loa, Earth’s largest active volcano, provides a unique opportunity to differentiate unrest from run-up and improve forecasting of future eruptions. After decades of intermittent seismic and geodetic activity over 38 years of repose, Mauna Loa began erupting on 27 November 2022. Here we present a multidisciplinary synthesis that tracks the spatio-temporal evolution of precursory activity by integrating mineral and melt chemistry, fluid inclusion barometry, numerical modeling of mineral zoning, syn-eruptive gas plume measurements, the distribution and frequency of earthquake hypocenters, seismic velocity changes, and ground deformation. These diverse data indicate that the eruption occurred following a 2-month period of sustained magma intrusion from depths of 3–5 km up to 1–2 km beneath the summit caldera, providing a new model of the plumbing system at this very high threat volcano. Careful correlation of both the geochemistry and instrumental monitoring data improves our ability to distinguish unrest from the run-up to eruption by providing deeper understanding of the both the monitoring data and the magmatic system—an approach that could be applied at other volcanic systems worldwide.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52881-7
spellingShingle Kendra J. Lynn
Drew T. Downs
Frank A. Trusdell
Penny E. Wieser
Berenise Rangel
Baylee McDade
Alicia J. Hotovec-Ellis
Ninfa Bennington
Kyle R. Anderson
Dawn C. S. Ruth
Charlotte L. DeVitre
Andria P. Ellis
Patricia A. Nadeau
Laura Clor
Peter Kelly
Peter J. Dotray
Jefferson C. Chang
Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa
Nature Communications
title Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa
title_full Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa
title_fullStr Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa
title_full_unstemmed Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa
title_short Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa
title_sort triggering the 2022 eruption of mauna loa
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52881-7
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