Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis

<b>Background:</b> Heart failure (HF), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, forming a high-risk triad that amplifies morbidity and mortality through shared pathophysiological mechanisms such as neurohormonal activation, fluid overload, and inflam...

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Main Authors: Mihai Sorin Iacob, Nilima Rajpal Kundnani, Abhinav Sharma, Vlad Meche, Paul Ciobotaru, Ovidiu Bedreag, Dorel Sandesc, Simona Ruxanda Dragan, Marius Papurica, Livia Claudia Stanga
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Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Life
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/15/5/786
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author Mihai Sorin Iacob
Nilima Rajpal Kundnani
Abhinav Sharma
Vlad Meche
Paul Ciobotaru
Ovidiu Bedreag
Dorel Sandesc
Simona Ruxanda Dragan
Marius Papurica
Livia Claudia Stanga
author_facet Mihai Sorin Iacob
Nilima Rajpal Kundnani
Abhinav Sharma
Vlad Meche
Paul Ciobotaru
Ovidiu Bedreag
Dorel Sandesc
Simona Ruxanda Dragan
Marius Papurica
Livia Claudia Stanga
author_sort Mihai Sorin Iacob
collection DOAJ
description <b>Background:</b> Heart failure (HF), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, forming a high-risk triad that amplifies morbidity and mortality through shared pathophysiological mechanisms such as neurohormonal activation, fluid overload, and inflammation. Current risk stratification tools, including CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc and HAS-BLED, inadequately capture the complexity of these multimorbid patients. This study aims to explore the influence of comorbidities, hypertension severity, anticoagulation strategy, and risk scores on hospitalization outcomes in patients with coexisting HF, CKD, and AF. <b>Materials and Methods:</b> A retrospective case study was conducted on 174 hospitalized patients with HF, CKD, and AF. Clinical data included hypertension grade, HF phenotype (HFpEF vs. HFrEF), NYHA classification, renal function (KDIGO stage), stroke and bleeding risk scores (CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc: congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75, diabetes, and stroke/TIA; HAS-BLED: hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding, labile INR, elderly, and drugs/alcohol), comorbidities (neurological, psychiatric, COPD, and diabetes), anticoagulation type (DOACs vs. VKAs), and length of hospital stay. Statistical analysis included Spearman correlation, independent t-tests, and multivariate regression to evaluate associations between variables and clinical outcomes. <b>Results:</b> Most patients were elderly (mean age 75 ± 12), with advanced CKD (stage 3b) and systolic HF (77% HFrEF). Mean CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc was 5.67, HAS-BLED was 4.40, and ATRIA was 4.74, indicating high stroke and bleeding risk. Anticoagulation was predominantly via DOACs (69.5%). Hypertension severity did not significantly correlate with NYHA class (ρ = −0.14, <i>p</i> = 0.068). Neurological, psychiatric, and metabolic comorbidities showed no significant associations with HF severity. COPD and diabetes correlated inversely with CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc scores (ρ = −0.83, <i>p</i> = 0.014). No significant differences were observed in hospital stay between HF phenotypes or prior stroke history. In-hospital mortality was low (2.3%). <b>Conclusions:</b> Traditional risk scores do not fully capture the complexity of multimorbid patients. Metabolic comorbidities showed an inverse correlation with stroke risk scores, and no significant correlation was observed between hypertension severity and HF symptom burden. Hypertension and common comorbidities did not correlate with HF symptom burden, and metabolic diseases may paradoxically associate with lower stroke risk scores. These findings highlight the need for improved multimodal risk assessment strategies that consider the heterogeneity of multimorbid populations. Personalized, integrated approaches are essential to optimize anticoagulation, reduce hospitalization, and improve prognosis.
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spelling doaj-art-0431e8b72dbf4a07851a36256641071c2025-08-20T03:48:02ZengMDPI AGLife2075-17292025-05-0115578610.3390/life15050786Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive AnalysisMihai Sorin Iacob0Nilima Rajpal Kundnani1Abhinav Sharma2Vlad Meche3Paul Ciobotaru4Ovidiu Bedreag5Dorel Sandesc6Simona Ruxanda Dragan7Marius Papurica8Livia Claudia Stanga9Doctoral School, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaUniversity Clinic of Internal Medicine and Ambulatory Care, Prevention and Cardiovascular Recovery, Department VI—Cardiology, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaDoctoral School, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaDoctoral School, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaDoctoral School, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaUniversity Clinic of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Department X Surgery II, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaUniversity Clinic of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Department X Surgery II, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaUniversity Clinic of Internal Medicine and Ambulatory Care, Prevention and Cardiovascular Recovery, Department VI—Cardiology, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaUniversity Clinic of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Department X Surgery II, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, RomaniaDepartment XIV—Microbiology, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 3000041 Timisoara, Romania<b>Background:</b> Heart failure (HF), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, forming a high-risk triad that amplifies morbidity and mortality through shared pathophysiological mechanisms such as neurohormonal activation, fluid overload, and inflammation. Current risk stratification tools, including CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc and HAS-BLED, inadequately capture the complexity of these multimorbid patients. This study aims to explore the influence of comorbidities, hypertension severity, anticoagulation strategy, and risk scores on hospitalization outcomes in patients with coexisting HF, CKD, and AF. <b>Materials and Methods:</b> A retrospective case study was conducted on 174 hospitalized patients with HF, CKD, and AF. Clinical data included hypertension grade, HF phenotype (HFpEF vs. HFrEF), NYHA classification, renal function (KDIGO stage), stroke and bleeding risk scores (CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc: congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75, diabetes, and stroke/TIA; HAS-BLED: hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding, labile INR, elderly, and drugs/alcohol), comorbidities (neurological, psychiatric, COPD, and diabetes), anticoagulation type (DOACs vs. VKAs), and length of hospital stay. Statistical analysis included Spearman correlation, independent t-tests, and multivariate regression to evaluate associations between variables and clinical outcomes. <b>Results:</b> Most patients were elderly (mean age 75 ± 12), with advanced CKD (stage 3b) and systolic HF (77% HFrEF). Mean CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc was 5.67, HAS-BLED was 4.40, and ATRIA was 4.74, indicating high stroke and bleeding risk. Anticoagulation was predominantly via DOACs (69.5%). Hypertension severity did not significantly correlate with NYHA class (ρ = −0.14, <i>p</i> = 0.068). Neurological, psychiatric, and metabolic comorbidities showed no significant associations with HF severity. COPD and diabetes correlated inversely with CHA<sub>2</sub>DS<sub>2</sub>-VASc scores (ρ = −0.83, <i>p</i> = 0.014). No significant differences were observed in hospital stay between HF phenotypes or prior stroke history. In-hospital mortality was low (2.3%). <b>Conclusions:</b> Traditional risk scores do not fully capture the complexity of multimorbid patients. Metabolic comorbidities showed an inverse correlation with stroke risk scores, and no significant correlation was observed between hypertension severity and HF symptom burden. Hypertension and common comorbidities did not correlate with HF symptom burden, and metabolic diseases may paradoxically associate with lower stroke risk scores. These findings highlight the need for improved multimodal risk assessment strategies that consider the heterogeneity of multimorbid populations. Personalized, integrated approaches are essential to optimize anticoagulation, reduce hospitalization, and improve prognosis.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/15/5/786hypertensionheart failurechronic kidney diseaseatrial fibrillation
spellingShingle Mihai Sorin Iacob
Nilima Rajpal Kundnani
Abhinav Sharma
Vlad Meche
Paul Ciobotaru
Ovidiu Bedreag
Dorel Sandesc
Simona Ruxanda Dragan
Marius Papurica
Livia Claudia Stanga
Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis
Life
hypertension
heart failure
chronic kidney disease
atrial fibrillation
title Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis
title_full Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis
title_fullStr Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis
title_short Multifactorial Risk Stratification in Patients with Heart Failure, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Analysis
title_sort multifactorial risk stratification in patients with heart failure chronic kidney disease and atrial fibrillation a comprehensive analysis
topic hypertension
heart failure
chronic kidney disease
atrial fibrillation
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/15/5/786
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