Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patients

BackgroundHeart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a common and heterogeneous syndrome with high mortality and morbidity. However, few studies have evaluated the relationship between biomarkers and subsequent outcomes in HFpEF patients.ObjectiveTo assess the association between plas...

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Main Authors: Hou-liang Chen, Xue-tao Zhu, Wang Zhang, Xiao-bing Cheng, Ze-ping Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1512411/full
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author Hou-liang Chen
Hou-liang Chen
Xue-tao Zhu
Wang Zhang
Xiao-bing Cheng
Ze-ping Hu
author_facet Hou-liang Chen
Hou-liang Chen
Xue-tao Zhu
Wang Zhang
Xiao-bing Cheng
Ze-ping Hu
author_sort Hou-liang Chen
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundHeart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a common and heterogeneous syndrome with high mortality and morbidity. However, few studies have evaluated the relationship between biomarkers and subsequent outcomes in HFpEF patients.ObjectiveTo assess the association between plasma hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) levels and all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients.MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study of 412 HFpEF patients who were hospitalized in the Department of Cardiology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from November 2020 to November 2021. The patients were divided into two groups according to the 24-month follow-up results: deceased (82 cases) and survivors (330 cases). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of relevant indicators for HFpEF mortality risk. Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to assess the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with increased relevant indicators.ResultsMultivariate logistic regression analysis showed that HGF, B-type natriuretic peptide precursor (BNP), total protein (TP), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and tetraiodothyronine (T4) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients (P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cut-off point of HGF was 1,598 pg/ml [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.645, P = 0.000, hazard ratio (HR) = 3.186, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.963–5.171], the optimal cut-off point of BNP was 271 pg/ml (AUC = 0.703, P < 0.000, HR = 4.494, 95% CI: 2.914–6.930), and the optimal cut-off point of eGFR was 114.5 ml/min/1.73 m2 (AUC = 0.644, P = 0.423). Kaplan–Meier survival curve analysis showed that the survival probability of the patients with low HGF and BNP concentrations was significantly higher (P < 0.0001), while there was no significant difference in the survival rate between the two subgroups with eGFR as the cut-off value (P = 0.423).ConclusionHGF and BNP are independent risk factors for all-cause mortality events in HFpEF patients during 24 months of follow-up, and the survival probability of HFpEF patients with low HGF and BNP concentrations is higher.
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spelling doaj-art-032a96dcedbf420fbf2197e5de93ec0c2025-08-20T02:43:16ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine2297-055X2025-02-011210.3389/fcvm.2025.15124111512411Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patientsHou-liang Chen0Hou-liang Chen1Xue-tao Zhu2Wang Zhang3Xiao-bing Cheng4Ze-ping Hu5Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, ChinaDepartment of Cardiology, The Third People's Hospital of Hefei (Hefei Third Clinical College, Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, ChinaDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, ChinaDepartment of Pharmacy, Hefei Third Clinical College, Anhui Medical University (Hefei Third People’s Hospital), Hefei, Anhui, ChinaDepartment of Cardiology, The Third People's Hospital of Hefei (Hefei Third Clinical College, Anhui Medical University), Hefei, Anhui, ChinaDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui, ChinaBackgroundHeart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a common and heterogeneous syndrome with high mortality and morbidity. However, few studies have evaluated the relationship between biomarkers and subsequent outcomes in HFpEF patients.ObjectiveTo assess the association between plasma hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) levels and all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients.MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study of 412 HFpEF patients who were hospitalized in the Department of Cardiology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from November 2020 to November 2021. The patients were divided into two groups according to the 24-month follow-up results: deceased (82 cases) and survivors (330 cases). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors for all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of relevant indicators for HFpEF mortality risk. Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to assess the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with increased relevant indicators.ResultsMultivariate logistic regression analysis showed that HGF, B-type natriuretic peptide precursor (BNP), total protein (TP), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and tetraiodothyronine (T4) were independent risk factors for all-cause mortality in HFpEF patients (P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cut-off point of HGF was 1,598 pg/ml [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.645, P = 0.000, hazard ratio (HR) = 3.186, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.963–5.171], the optimal cut-off point of BNP was 271 pg/ml (AUC = 0.703, P < 0.000, HR = 4.494, 95% CI: 2.914–6.930), and the optimal cut-off point of eGFR was 114.5 ml/min/1.73 m2 (AUC = 0.644, P = 0.423). Kaplan–Meier survival curve analysis showed that the survival probability of the patients with low HGF and BNP concentrations was significantly higher (P < 0.0001), while there was no significant difference in the survival rate between the two subgroups with eGFR as the cut-off value (P = 0.423).ConclusionHGF and BNP are independent risk factors for all-cause mortality events in HFpEF patients during 24 months of follow-up, and the survival probability of HFpEF patients with low HGF and BNP concentrations is higher.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1512411/fullHGFBNPall-cause mortalityHFpEFretrospective cohort study
spellingShingle Hou-liang Chen
Hou-liang Chen
Xue-tao Zhu
Wang Zhang
Xiao-bing Cheng
Ze-ping Hu
Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patients
Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
HGF
BNP
all-cause mortality
HFpEF
retrospective cohort study
title Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patients
title_full Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patients
title_fullStr Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patients
title_full_unstemmed Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patients
title_short Hepatocyte growth factor and B-type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in HFpEF patients
title_sort hepatocyte growth factor and b type natriuretic peptide as independent predictors of mortality in hfpef patients
topic HGF
BNP
all-cause mortality
HFpEF
retrospective cohort study
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2025.1512411/full
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