Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)

A prediction is an estimation of something that has not yet occurred. Its purpose is to minimize uncertainty and reduce errors in planning. Bogor Regency, with the largest population in West Java, requires a substantial amount of food. Rice production must meet the consumption needs of the populatio...

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Main Authors: Ani Apriani, Nono Carsono, Mas Dadang Enjat Munajat
Format: Article
Language:Indonesian
Published: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Islam Lamongan 2024-04-01
Series:Jurnal Teknika
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jurnalteknik.unisla.ac.id/index.php/teknika/article/view/1192
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author Ani Apriani
Nono Carsono
Mas Dadang Enjat Munajat
author_facet Ani Apriani
Nono Carsono
Mas Dadang Enjat Munajat
author_sort Ani Apriani
collection DOAJ
description A prediction is an estimation of something that has not yet occurred. Its purpose is to minimize uncertainty and reduce errors in planning. Bogor Regency, with the largest population in West Java, requires a substantial amount of food. Rice production must meet the consumption needs of the population. To anticipate potential rice shortages, effective planning, and reduced dependence on rice imports, research is needed to predict rice production. This study aims to predict rice production using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithms. Secondary data from the Department of Food Crops and Horticulture, and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Bogor Regency were utilized. Results show that the Linear Regression method outperformed SVM, with MSE 236202.323, RMSE 486.007, MAE 388.712, and R2 1.000. In contrast, SVM yielded MSE 1461472466.751, RMSE 38229.2.10, MAE 303333.535, and R2 -0.065. In conclusion, the prediction using Linear Regression demonstrated better accuracy than SVM. Keywords: Prediction, Algorithm, SVM. Linear Regression.
format Article
id doaj-art-029ffdae241e4ef88c875573e92bcc63
institution Kabale University
issn 2085-0859
2620-4770
language Indonesian
publishDate 2024-04-01
publisher Fakultas Teknik Universitas Islam Lamongan
record_format Article
series Jurnal Teknika
spelling doaj-art-029ffdae241e4ef88c875573e92bcc632025-01-24T07:36:27ZindFakultas Teknik Universitas Islam LamonganJurnal Teknika2085-08592620-47702024-04-01161131810.30736/jt.v16i1.11921147Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)Ani Apriani0Nono Carsono1Mas Dadang Enjat Munajat2Program Studi Magister Inovasi Regional, Sekolah Pasca Sarjana, Universitas PadjadjaranProgram Studi Agroteknologi, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Padjadjaran Program Studi Magister Inovasi Regional, Sekolah Pasca Sarjana, Universitas PadjadjaranA prediction is an estimation of something that has not yet occurred. Its purpose is to minimize uncertainty and reduce errors in planning. Bogor Regency, with the largest population in West Java, requires a substantial amount of food. Rice production must meet the consumption needs of the population. To anticipate potential rice shortages, effective planning, and reduced dependence on rice imports, research is needed to predict rice production. This study aims to predict rice production using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithms. Secondary data from the Department of Food Crops and Horticulture, and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Bogor Regency were utilized. Results show that the Linear Regression method outperformed SVM, with MSE 236202.323, RMSE 486.007, MAE 388.712, and R2 1.000. In contrast, SVM yielded MSE 1461472466.751, RMSE 38229.2.10, MAE 303333.535, and R2 -0.065. In conclusion, the prediction using Linear Regression demonstrated better accuracy than SVM. Keywords: Prediction, Algorithm, SVM. Linear Regression.https://jurnalteknik.unisla.ac.id/index.php/teknika/article/view/1192support vector machinemsermsemaer-squarer2
spellingShingle Ani Apriani
Nono Carsono
Mas Dadang Enjat Munajat
Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)
Jurnal Teknika
support vector machine
mse
rmse
mae
r-square
r2
title Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)
title_full Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)
title_fullStr Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)
title_short Prediction of Rice Production to Support Food Security in Bogor Regency using Linear Regression and Support Vector Machine (SVM)
title_sort prediction of rice production to support food security in bogor regency using linear regression and support vector machine svm
topic support vector machine
mse
rmse
mae
r-square
r2
url https://jurnalteknik.unisla.ac.id/index.php/teknika/article/view/1192
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AT nonocarsono predictionofriceproductiontosupportfoodsecurityinbogorregencyusinglinearregressionandsupportvectormachinesvm
AT masdadangenjatmunajat predictionofriceproductiontosupportfoodsecurityinbogorregencyusinglinearregressionandsupportvectormachinesvm