Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in Italy

ABSTRACT The COVID‐19 pandemic has generated significant global impacts on health and society, imposing a comprehensive analysis of its influencing factors, including weather variables. This study investigates the interaction between meteorological conditions and the spread of COVID‐19 in three Ital...

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Main Authors: Vito Telesca, Gianfranco Castronuovo, Gianfranco Favia, Mariarosaria Marra, Marica Rondinone, Alessandro Ceppi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-03-01
Series:Meteorological Applications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70048
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author Vito Telesca
Gianfranco Castronuovo
Gianfranco Favia
Mariarosaria Marra
Marica Rondinone
Alessandro Ceppi
author_facet Vito Telesca
Gianfranco Castronuovo
Gianfranco Favia
Mariarosaria Marra
Marica Rondinone
Alessandro Ceppi
author_sort Vito Telesca
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT The COVID‐19 pandemic has generated significant global impacts on health and society, imposing a comprehensive analysis of its influencing factors, including weather variables. This study investigates the interaction between meteorological conditions and the spread of COVID‐19 in three Italian regions: Lombardia, Emilia‐Romagna, and Puglia. Effects of weather variables, such as air temperature, relative humidity, dew point, solar radiation, wind speed, and barometric pressure, are explored in the incidence of disease. Observed meteorological and health data are taken from various sources, such as the citizen‐science Meteonetwork Association and the National Department of Civil Protection, respectively, and they are analyzed with statistical methods and machine learning algorithms. The study emphasizes the necessity of carefully considering key meteorological quantities as primary drivers in illness diffusion and prevention strategies, offering valuable insights to address challenges to the pandemic and ensure the safety of global communities. The results reveal a significant correlation between specific atmospheric variables and the spread of COVID‐19, with dew point temperature as the most influential parameter at low air temperature values.
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publisher Wiley
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series Meteorological Applications
spelling doaj-art-02001f35fb9f48b1951a29eb96158d3c2025-08-20T02:24:49ZengWileyMeteorological Applications1350-48271469-80802025-03-01322n/an/a10.1002/met.70048Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in ItalyVito Telesca0Gianfranco Castronuovo1Gianfranco Favia2Mariarosaria Marra3Marica Rondinone4Alessandro Ceppi5School of Engineering, Università Della Basilicata Potenza ItalySchool of Engineering, Università Della Basilicata Potenza ItalyDepartment of Interdisciplinary Medicine Università di Bari Bari ItalySchool of Engineering, Università Della Basilicata Potenza ItalySchool of Engineering, Università Della Basilicata Potenza ItalyDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering (D.I.C.A.) Politecnico di Milano Milano ItalyABSTRACT The COVID‐19 pandemic has generated significant global impacts on health and society, imposing a comprehensive analysis of its influencing factors, including weather variables. This study investigates the interaction between meteorological conditions and the spread of COVID‐19 in three Italian regions: Lombardia, Emilia‐Romagna, and Puglia. Effects of weather variables, such as air temperature, relative humidity, dew point, solar radiation, wind speed, and barometric pressure, are explored in the incidence of disease. Observed meteorological and health data are taken from various sources, such as the citizen‐science Meteonetwork Association and the National Department of Civil Protection, respectively, and they are analyzed with statistical methods and machine learning algorithms. The study emphasizes the necessity of carefully considering key meteorological quantities as primary drivers in illness diffusion and prevention strategies, offering valuable insights to address challenges to the pandemic and ensure the safety of global communities. The results reveal a significant correlation between specific atmospheric variables and the spread of COVID‐19, with dew point temperature as the most influential parameter at low air temperature values.https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70048artificial intelligenceatmospheric moistureCOVID‐19dew point temperaturemachine learning modelsrandom Forest
spellingShingle Vito Telesca
Gianfranco Castronuovo
Gianfranco Favia
Mariarosaria Marra
Marica Rondinone
Alessandro Ceppi
Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in Italy
Meteorological Applications
artificial intelligence
atmospheric moisture
COVID‐19
dew point temperature
machine learning models
random Forest
title Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in Italy
title_full Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in Italy
title_fullStr Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in Italy
title_full_unstemmed Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in Italy
title_short Meteorological Factors and the Spread of COVID‐19: A Territorial Analysis in Italy
title_sort meteorological factors and the spread of covid 19 a territorial analysis in italy
topic artificial intelligence
atmospheric moisture
COVID‐19
dew point temperature
machine learning models
random Forest
url https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70048
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