A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning Strategy

Accurate load forecasting serves as the core foundation for grid planning and operations. Traditional load forecasting methods often rely solely on historical load data from a single region for training, making the models region-specific and leading to significant accuracy degradation when applied t...

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Main Authors: Jinsong Deng, Shaotang Cai, Weinong Wu, Rong Jiang, Hongyu Deng, Jinhua Ma, Yonghang Luo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10857325/
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author Jinsong Deng
Shaotang Cai
Weinong Wu
Rong Jiang
Hongyu Deng
Jinhua Ma
Yonghang Luo
author_facet Jinsong Deng
Shaotang Cai
Weinong Wu
Rong Jiang
Hongyu Deng
Jinhua Ma
Yonghang Luo
author_sort Jinsong Deng
collection DOAJ
description Accurate load forecasting serves as the core foundation for grid planning and operations. Traditional load forecasting methods often rely solely on historical load data from a single region for training, making the models region-specific and leading to significant accuracy degradation when applied to other regions. This limits the generalization ability of these models to cross-regional load forecasting tasks. To address this issue, this study proposed a collaborative training strategy based on pseudo-distributed federated learning. Inspired by the pseudo-distributed concept, this strategy builds multiple sub-models by serially training load datasets from different regions on the same server. After a certain number of local epochs for each sub-model, parameter aggregation was performed. The aggregated parameters are then updated into each sub-model, and this process is repeated during each global epoch until the model converges, ultimately forming a global model capable of forecasting loads across multiple regions. Experiments demonstrated that this strategy exhibited exceptional generalization ability across various deep learning models, federated learning methods, and datasets.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2169-3536
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
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series IEEE Access
spelling doaj-art-01ef972b9527472a8effc6a6cadffc1e2025-02-07T00:01:18ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113224462245810.1109/ACCESS.2025.353609710857325A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning StrategyJinsong Deng0Shaotang Cai1Weinong Wu2Rong Jiang3Hongyu Deng4Jinhua Ma5Yonghang Luo6https://orcid.org/0009-0003-0245-2959Qijiang Power Supply Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power Company, Qijiang, Chongqing, ChinaInformation and Communication Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power Company, Yubei, Chongqing, ChinaInformation and Communication Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power Company, Yubei, Chongqing, ChinaInformation and Communication Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power Company, Yubei, Chongqing, ChinaInformation and Communication Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power Company, Yubei, Chongqing, ChinaInformation and Communication Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power Company, Yubei, Chongqing, ChinaCollege of Computer and Information Science, Chongqing Normal University, Shapingba, Chongqing, ChinaAccurate load forecasting serves as the core foundation for grid planning and operations. Traditional load forecasting methods often rely solely on historical load data from a single region for training, making the models region-specific and leading to significant accuracy degradation when applied to other regions. This limits the generalization ability of these models to cross-regional load forecasting tasks. To address this issue, this study proposed a collaborative training strategy based on pseudo-distributed federated learning. Inspired by the pseudo-distributed concept, this strategy builds multiple sub-models by serially training load datasets from different regions on the same server. After a certain number of local epochs for each sub-model, parameter aggregation was performed. The aggregated parameters are then updated into each sub-model, and this process is repeated during each global epoch until the model converges, ultimately forming a global model capable of forecasting loads across multiple regions. Experiments demonstrated that this strategy exhibited exceptional generalization ability across various deep learning models, federated learning methods, and datasets.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10857325/Load forecastingfederated learningpseudo-distributed
spellingShingle Jinsong Deng
Shaotang Cai
Weinong Wu
Rong Jiang
Hongyu Deng
Jinhua Ma
Yonghang Luo
A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning Strategy
IEEE Access
Load forecasting
federated learning
pseudo-distributed
title A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning Strategy
title_full A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning Strategy
title_fullStr A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning Strategy
title_full_unstemmed A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning Strategy
title_short A Cross-Regional Load Forecasting Method Based on a Pseudo-Distributed Federated Learning Strategy
title_sort cross regional load forecasting method based on a pseudo distributed federated learning strategy
topic Load forecasting
federated learning
pseudo-distributed
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10857325/
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