Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 Data

Precipitation is an important but variable quantity in the climate system. Monitoring the changes of this quantity has many complications, so in this research, we tried to investigate the trend of precipitation changes in the coastal strip of southern Iran using ERA5 data. In this regard, the monthl...

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Main Authors: Maryam Kamali, Masoud Torabi Azad
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: I.R. of Iran Meteorological Organization 2024-03-01
Series:Nīvār
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Online Access:https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_195256_a1696cd04489186edf24b4eff189ed9f.pdf
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author Maryam Kamali
Masoud Torabi Azad
author_facet Maryam Kamali
Masoud Torabi Azad
author_sort Maryam Kamali
collection DOAJ
description Precipitation is an important but variable quantity in the climate system. Monitoring the changes of this quantity has many complications, so in this research, we tried to investigate the trend of precipitation changes in the coastal strip of southern Iran using ERA5 data. In this regard, the monthly rainfall data of ERA5 model was used for the time period of 1981-2020. For this investigation, linear regression tests and Mann-Kendall test were used to measure the correlation and the trend of changes of this quantity in 3 provinces of Khuzestan, Bushehr and Hormozgan. Examining the results of the correlation between the observational data and the model data indicated a high and significant correlation, which showed a high correlation of 95 percent with a correlation coefficient of more than 0.92. Examining the time series of the data indicated an increase in regional rainfall in the spring season and a decrease in the winter season.Intra-seasonal changes showed that winter rains decreased compared to autumn rains, spring rains increased compared to autumn, summer rains increased compared to autumn rains, and summer rains increased compared to spring rains in the region. . The monthly survey of rainfall showed that the concentration of the increasing rate of rainfall was concentrated in the northern regions of Khuzestan province, which shows a significant upward trend in some regions such as the east of Hormozgan province in January.
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spelling doaj-art-01b7564a424944289ed6d4d401617c782025-01-05T10:55:06ZfasI.R. of Iran Meteorological OrganizationNīvār1735-05652645-33472024-03-0148124-12518720210.30467/nivar.2024.412682.1258195256Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 DataMaryam Kamali0Masoud Torabi Azad1Master's student in Meteorology, Islamic Azad University, North Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran.Professor, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, IranPrecipitation is an important but variable quantity in the climate system. Monitoring the changes of this quantity has many complications, so in this research, we tried to investigate the trend of precipitation changes in the coastal strip of southern Iran using ERA5 data. In this regard, the monthly rainfall data of ERA5 model was used for the time period of 1981-2020. For this investigation, linear regression tests and Mann-Kendall test were used to measure the correlation and the trend of changes of this quantity in 3 provinces of Khuzestan, Bushehr and Hormozgan. Examining the results of the correlation between the observational data and the model data indicated a high and significant correlation, which showed a high correlation of 95 percent with a correlation coefficient of more than 0.92. Examining the time series of the data indicated an increase in regional rainfall in the spring season and a decrease in the winter season.Intra-seasonal changes showed that winter rains decreased compared to autumn rains, spring rains increased compared to autumn, summer rains increased compared to autumn rains, and summer rains increased compared to spring rains in the region. . The monthly survey of rainfall showed that the concentration of the increasing rate of rainfall was concentrated in the northern regions of Khuzestan province, which shows a significant upward trend in some regions such as the east of Hormozgan province in January.https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_195256_a1696cd04489186edf24b4eff189ed9f.pdfprecipitationtrendsera5 modelsouthern coasts of iran
spellingShingle Maryam Kamali
Masoud Torabi Azad
Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 Data
Nīvār
precipitation
trends
era5 model
southern coasts of iran
title Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 Data
title_full Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 Data
title_fullStr Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 Data
title_full_unstemmed Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 Data
title_short Investigating Precipitation Changes in the Southern Coast of Iran using ERA5 Data
title_sort investigating precipitation changes in the southern coast of iran using era5 data
topic precipitation
trends
era5 model
southern coasts of iran
url https://nivar.irimo.ir/article_195256_a1696cd04489186edf24b4eff189ed9f.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT maryamkamali investigatingprecipitationchangesinthesoutherncoastofiranusingera5data
AT masoudtorabiazad investigatingprecipitationchangesinthesoutherncoastofiranusingera5data