Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft

The paper considers the theoretical aspects of factor analysis as applied to the problem of predicting the failure-free operation of low-orbit communication satellites. The authors described the nature of the factors affecting the spacecraft during operation. The structure of the methodology for pre...

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Main Authors: Kraev Konstantin, Zaitsev Pavel, Kazakovtsev Vladimir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2025-01-01
Series:ITM Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2025/03/itmconf_hmmocs-III2024_03008.pdf
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author Kraev Konstantin
Zaitsev Pavel
Kazakovtsev Vladimir
author_facet Kraev Konstantin
Zaitsev Pavel
Kazakovtsev Vladimir
author_sort Kraev Konstantin
collection DOAJ
description The paper considers the theoretical aspects of factor analysis as applied to the problem of predicting the failure-free operation of low-orbit communication satellites. The authors described the nature of the factors affecting the spacecraft during operation. The structure of the methodology for preparing data and creating factor load models is described. A methodology for analyzing the dynamics of changes in factor load models is proposed. The basic concepts and the algorithm are described. A numerical experiment to test the proposed hypothesis and interpreted the key factors influencing the functioning of the spacecraft is described. The factors are distributed into influence groups. As a result of the numerical experiment and the conducted analysis of the dynamics of changes in the factor load models, we made a conclusion on the validity of the proposed hypothesis. The practical applicability of the described approach for predicting failures and malfunctions during the operation of spacecraft is discussed.
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spelling doaj-art-00909a783b834d21944a7c8fc88ee99d2025-08-20T02:13:44ZengEDP SciencesITM Web of Conferences2271-20972025-01-01720300810.1051/itmconf/20257203008itmconf_hmmocs-III2024_03008Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraftKraev Konstantin0Zaitsev Pavel1Kazakovtsev Vladimir2Reshetnev Siberian State University of Science and TechnologySiberian Federal UniversityReshetnev Siberian State University of Science and TechnologyThe paper considers the theoretical aspects of factor analysis as applied to the problem of predicting the failure-free operation of low-orbit communication satellites. The authors described the nature of the factors affecting the spacecraft during operation. The structure of the methodology for preparing data and creating factor load models is described. A methodology for analyzing the dynamics of changes in factor load models is proposed. The basic concepts and the algorithm are described. A numerical experiment to test the proposed hypothesis and interpreted the key factors influencing the functioning of the spacecraft is described. The factors are distributed into influence groups. As a result of the numerical experiment and the conducted analysis of the dynamics of changes in the factor load models, we made a conclusion on the validity of the proposed hypothesis. The practical applicability of the described approach for predicting failures and malfunctions during the operation of spacecraft is discussed.https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2025/03/itmconf_hmmocs-III2024_03008.pdf
spellingShingle Kraev Konstantin
Zaitsev Pavel
Kazakovtsev Vladimir
Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft
ITM Web of Conferences
title Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft
title_full Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft
title_fullStr Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft
title_short Analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft
title_sort analysis of the dynamics of changes in factor load models for predicting failures of a spacecraft
url https://www.itm-conferences.org/articles/itmconf/pdf/2025/03/itmconf_hmmocs-III2024_03008.pdf
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