Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical Vulnerability

Applying disaster system theory and with reference to the mechanisms that underlie agricultural drought risk, in this study, crop yield loss levels were determined on the basis of hazards and environmental and hazard-affected entities (crops). Thus, by applying agricultural drought risk assessment m...

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Main Authors: Fang Chen, Huicong Jia, Donghua Pan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Journal of Food Quality
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/9392769
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author Fang Chen
Huicong Jia
Donghua Pan
author_facet Fang Chen
Huicong Jia
Donghua Pan
author_sort Fang Chen
collection DOAJ
description Applying disaster system theory and with reference to the mechanisms that underlie agricultural drought risk, in this study, crop yield loss levels were determined on the basis of hazards and environmental and hazard-affected entities (crops). Thus, by applying agricultural drought risk assessment methodologies, the spatiotemporal distribution of maize drought risk was assessed at the national scale. The results of this analysis revealed that the overall maize drought risk decreases gradually along a northwest-to-southeast transect within maize planting areas, a function of the climatic change from arid to humid, and that the highest yield loss levels are located at values between 0.35 and 0.45. This translates to drought risks of once in every 10 and 20 years within 47.17% and 43.31% of the total maize-producing areas of China, respectively. Irrespective of the risk level, however, the highest maize yield loss rates are seen in northwestern China. The outcomes of this study provide the scientific basis for the future prevention and mitigation of agricultural droughts as well as the rationalization of related insurance.
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publishDate 2019-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-0032caedf6484fe2b4ecc3af5b77320a2025-08-20T02:01:46ZengWileyJournal of Food Quality0146-94281745-45572019-01-01201910.1155/2019/93927699392769Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical VulnerabilityFang Chen0Huicong Jia1Donghua Pan2Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, ChinaKey Laboratory of Digital Earth Science, Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, ChinaNational Disaster Reduction Center of China, Ministry of Civil Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing 100124, ChinaApplying disaster system theory and with reference to the mechanisms that underlie agricultural drought risk, in this study, crop yield loss levels were determined on the basis of hazards and environmental and hazard-affected entities (crops). Thus, by applying agricultural drought risk assessment methodologies, the spatiotemporal distribution of maize drought risk was assessed at the national scale. The results of this analysis revealed that the overall maize drought risk decreases gradually along a northwest-to-southeast transect within maize planting areas, a function of the climatic change from arid to humid, and that the highest yield loss levels are located at values between 0.35 and 0.45. This translates to drought risks of once in every 10 and 20 years within 47.17% and 43.31% of the total maize-producing areas of China, respectively. Irrespective of the risk level, however, the highest maize yield loss rates are seen in northwestern China. The outcomes of this study provide the scientific basis for the future prevention and mitigation of agricultural droughts as well as the rationalization of related insurance.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/9392769
spellingShingle Fang Chen
Huicong Jia
Donghua Pan
Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical Vulnerability
Journal of Food Quality
title Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical Vulnerability
title_full Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical Vulnerability
title_fullStr Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical Vulnerability
title_full_unstemmed Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical Vulnerability
title_short Risk Assessment of Maize Drought in China Based on Physical Vulnerability
title_sort risk assessment of maize drought in china based on physical vulnerability
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/9392769
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AT donghuapan riskassessmentofmaizedroughtinchinabasedonphysicalvulnerability