A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Abstract Background Mean platelet volume (MPV), as a marker of platelet activity, has been shown to be an efficient prognostic biomarker in several types of cancer. Using MPV, this study aimed to create and validate a prognostic nomogram to the overall survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma...

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Main Authors: Qiao He, Zhenglian Luo, Haiming Zou, Bo Ye, Lichun Wu, Yao Deng, Mu Yang, Dongsheng Wang, Qifeng Wang, Kaijiong Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-10-01
Series:Cancer Medicine
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.6551
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author Qiao He
Zhenglian Luo
Haiming Zou
Bo Ye
Lichun Wu
Yao Deng
Mu Yang
Dongsheng Wang
Qifeng Wang
Kaijiong Zhang
author_facet Qiao He
Zhenglian Luo
Haiming Zou
Bo Ye
Lichun Wu
Yao Deng
Mu Yang
Dongsheng Wang
Qifeng Wang
Kaijiong Zhang
author_sort Qiao He
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Mean platelet volume (MPV), as a marker of platelet activity, has been shown to be an efficient prognostic biomarker in several types of cancer. Using MPV, this study aimed to create and validate a prognostic nomogram to the overall survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. Methods The nomogram was constructed and tested using data from a retrospective study of 1893 patients who were randomly assigned to the training and testing cohorts with a 7:3 randomization. In order to screen out the optimal predictors for overall survival (OS), we conducted the LASSO‐cox regression, univariate, and multivariate cox regression analyses. Subsequently, the predictive accuracy of the nomogram was validated in both the training and the testing cohorts. Finally, decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to confirm clinical validity. Results Age, MPV, nerve invasion, T stage, and N stage were found as independent prognostic variables for OS and were further developed into a nomogram. The nomogram's prediction accuracy for 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year OS was 0.736, 0.749, 0.774, and 0.724, 0.719, 0.704 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Furthermore, DCA results indicated that nomograms outperformed the AJCC 8th and conventional T, N staging systems in both the training and testing cohorts. Conclusions The nomogram, in conjunction with MPV and standard clinicopathological markers, could improve the accuracy of prediction of OS in ESCC patients.
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spelling doaj-art-002622d0997a41bb9a14cc2234293c822025-08-20T02:11:08ZengWileyCancer Medicine2045-76342023-10-011220202662027610.1002/cam4.6551A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinomaQiao He0Zhenglian Luo1Haiming Zou2Bo Ye3Lichun Wu4Yao Deng5Mu Yang6Dongsheng Wang7Qifeng Wang8Kaijiong Zhang9Department of Clinical Laboratory Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Transfusion Medicine, West China Hospital Sichuan University Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaCentre for Translational Research in Cancer Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaDepartment of Clinical Laboratory Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu ChinaAbstract Background Mean platelet volume (MPV), as a marker of platelet activity, has been shown to be an efficient prognostic biomarker in several types of cancer. Using MPV, this study aimed to create and validate a prognostic nomogram to the overall survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. Methods The nomogram was constructed and tested using data from a retrospective study of 1893 patients who were randomly assigned to the training and testing cohorts with a 7:3 randomization. In order to screen out the optimal predictors for overall survival (OS), we conducted the LASSO‐cox regression, univariate, and multivariate cox regression analyses. Subsequently, the predictive accuracy of the nomogram was validated in both the training and the testing cohorts. Finally, decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to confirm clinical validity. Results Age, MPV, nerve invasion, T stage, and N stage were found as independent prognostic variables for OS and were further developed into a nomogram. The nomogram's prediction accuracy for 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year OS was 0.736, 0.749, 0.774, and 0.724, 0.719, 0.704 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. Furthermore, DCA results indicated that nomograms outperformed the AJCC 8th and conventional T, N staging systems in both the training and testing cohorts. Conclusions The nomogram, in conjunction with MPV and standard clinicopathological markers, could improve the accuracy of prediction of OS in ESCC patients.https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.6551clinicopathological indicatorsESCCMPVOSprognostic nomogram
spellingShingle Qiao He
Zhenglian Luo
Haiming Zou
Bo Ye
Lichun Wu
Yao Deng
Mu Yang
Dongsheng Wang
Qifeng Wang
Kaijiong Zhang
A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
Cancer Medicine
clinicopathological indicators
ESCC
MPV
OS
prognostic nomogram
title A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
title_full A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
title_fullStr A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
title_full_unstemmed A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
title_short A prognostic nomogram that includes MPV in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
title_sort prognostic nomogram that includes mpv in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
topic clinicopathological indicators
ESCC
MPV
OS
prognostic nomogram
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.6551
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